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Emergent Insights approach to Strategic Foresight
is based on several key elements. Together they provide the basis
for our unique Integral Strategic Foresight capability that is tailored
to our clients needs in each application. The key elements include
a deep structural and process practice framework based on Integral
theory, our Quality Foresight decision making framework for identifying
the key aspects of the foresight analysis to be conducted, or capabilities
to be developed, and a foresight methods toolbox that includes and
expands on both traditional strategic planning tools and futures
methods.
Why Strategic Foresight?
Every decision-making process involves foresight -
some anticipation about future consequences and eventualities. The
real questions become what is the quality level of the foresight
employed? Is it relevant? Is it enough? In general, the historical
answers in Australia are that foresight quality is low, it's not
really relevant, and, it's certainly not enough. It's a tough call,
but understandable. Robust, accessible and comprehensive strategic
foresight tools and the know-how for integrating them into strategic
planning and operational processes have been problematical and one
that has been slowly developing in competence.
Unknown to most organisations, and even many futures
practitioners themselves, a revolutionary renewal of foresight methods
has been occurring over the past decade, the benefits of which,
Emergent Insights can provide.
Strategic Foresight is essentially about the thinking that precedes
strategic planning. Thinking about the future, especially medium
and long term future of 5, 10 or 30 years from now, is difficult
for many reasons. The most obvious of which are:
- Most people have views of what the future might hold, and
yet we don't have a culture that supports a grounded critical investigation
of these views;
- The future doesn't actually exist. It's a possibility space
that fundamentally can not be predicted in any reliable fashion,
so why bother; and,
- There are so many possibilities for what might happen, that
it is often too hard to comprehend, let alone factor into pragmatic
strategic planning.
Strategic Foresight addresses these difficulties and provides the
means for structuring our thinking and conversations about strategy
development and implementation. A one page diagrammatic overview
of what Strategic Foresight involves and how it relates to strategic
planning is available
here.
Quality Foresight
Emergent Insights approach to providing and developing
Strategic Foresight capabilities is based on our Quality Foresight
framework. Quality Foresight involves an examination of the client's
context starting with underlying or first order principles to determine
the nature, scope and type of Strategic Foresight capability that
is required and can be integrated into a strategic planning process.
A brief article outlining the origins of Quality Foresight
is available here.
While it may seem conceptually complex at first, the basic principles
are simple in nature, yet powerful in determining an organisations
need and capability for Strategic Foresight. Emergent Insights Quality
Foresight approach is primarily used to order our thinking in assessing,
designing and implementing Strategic Foresight for our clients,
rather than as a framework that organisations would apply in full.
The work we conduct and the capabilities we foster in our clients
is, instead, visably focused on our Integral Strategic Foresight
approach.
Integral Strategic Foresight?
Emergent Insights Integral Strategic Foresight is
a deep structural and process framework for the application of a
tailored suite of strategic foresight methodologies to our client's
situation. The approach represents a revolution in management and
futures thinking, that includes the major benefits of most previous
approaches, and goes beyond them in an integration that allows for
the emergence of a synergistic approach that is unparalleled in
effectiveness, robustness and comprehensiveness.
Integral theory is used to guide the selection and
application of each Strategic Foresight method. This ensures that
a transparent and rigorous process is designed and implemented that
provides outcomes that are grounded in a comprehensive understanding
of our client's operational context.
Emergent Insights has experience in a wide range of traditional
and Strategic Foresight methods, and is continually updating and
expanding our Foresight Toolbox.
Foresight Toolbox
Emergent Insights uses a range of methods and approaches
drawn from a wide range of disciplines. For each client, processes
are individually tailoerd to suit their context, capabilities and
requirements. Common futures methods that have been renewed using
our Integral Approach include:
- Action Learning & Research;
- Deep Visioning;
- Environmental Scanning;
- Integral Scenarios; and,
- Viable Systems Analysis.
If you would like more information on how Emergent
Insights Integral Strategic Foresight approach can expand your strategic
thinking capabilities, and what sort of methods might suit your
organisations circumstance, contact info at emergence.net.au.
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